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United States Environmental Protection Agency
Regional Vulnerability Assessment (ReVA) Program
 
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Which watersheds are most vulnerable to irreversible change?

One of the most difficult aspects of environmental management is that we are dealing with a living system that reacts and adapts to management actions. Grazing just a few more cattle may allow thorny shrubs to invade and make a pasture useless. Catching just a few more fish may cause the entire fish population to collapse.

There is no precise way to determine the point at which such changes will occur. However, the probability of such change increases as the ecological system is moved further and further away from its natural state. Systems in their natural state are well adapted to natural disturbances, such as fire or storms. As human activities add stressors (e.g., chemical pollutants), extract resources (e.g., lumber), and change landcover (e.g., fragmentation of forests) the system becomes more vulnerable to radical change. Therefore, ReVA focuses on estimating how far the ecological systems have already been moved from their natural state.

Criticality MAIA region map

The map shows the 20 watersheds most vulnerable to spontaneous radical change. The greatest vulnerability is associated with watersheds subject to more intense human activity, particularly in the vicinity of the Philadelphia-Baltimore-Washington axis and in the area of Raleigh, NC. Since the urban areas themselves are already devoid of extensive ecological resources, it is the outlying suburban areas that appear to be most vulnerable to catastrophic ecological degradation.

 

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